Expert Political Judgement: How Good Is It? (New Edition)...

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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

$65.64

Dresses Size Chart

Dress Size Chart (Inch)

DRESSES SIZE IN INCHES
SIZE	US / CAN	BUST	WAIST	HIPS
XS	0	31"-32"	24"-25"	34"-35"
S	2-4	33"-34"	26"-27"	36"-37"
M	6-8	35"-36"	28"-29"	38"-39"
L	10-12	37"-39"	30"-32"	40"-42"
XL	14	40"-42"	33"-35"	43"-45"

Dress Size Chart (cm)

DRESSES SIZE IN CM
SIZE	US / CAN	BUST	WAIST	HIPS
XS	0	78.7-81.2	60.9-63.5	86.3-88.9
S	2-4	83.8-86.3	66-68.5	91.4-93.9
M	6-8	88.9-91.4	71.1-73.6	96.5-99
L	10-12	93.9-99	76.2-81.2	101.6-106.6
XL	14	101.6-106.6	81.2-88.9	109.2-114.3

Swimwear Size Chart

Dress Size Chart (Inch)

SWIMWEAR SIZE IN INCHES
SIZE	US / CAN	BUST	WAIST	HIPS
XS	0	31"-32"	24"-25"	33"-34"
S	2	33"-34"	26"-27"	35"-37"
M	4	35"-36"	28"-29"	37"-38"
L	6	37"-39"	30"-32"	39"-41"
XL	8	40"-42"	33"-35"	42"-44"

Shoes Size Chart

US	EURO	UK	AUS	JAPAN	CHINA
5	35-36	3	3.5	21.5	35
5.5	36	3.5	4	22	35.5
6	36-37	4	4.5	22.5	36
6.5	37	4.5	5	23	36.5
7	37-38	5	5.5	23.5	37
7.5	38	5.5	6	24	37.5
8	38-39	6	6.5	24.5	38
8.5	39	6.5	7	25	38.5
9	39-40	7	7.5	25.5	39
9.5	40	7.5	8	26	39.5
10	40-41	8	8.5	26.5	40
11	41-42	9	9.5	27.5	41

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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

$65.64

Description
Additional Information

Why Expert Judgement Matters

In an era of complex geopolitical decisions, understanding the limits of expert prediction has never been more critical. Philip E. Tetlock's groundbreaking research, updated in this new edition, reveals that many experts are no more accurate than random chance. This finding carries profound implications for how we evaluate advice from pundits, analysts, and advisers—especially in Canada, where public policy often relies on expert testimony.

What This Book Uncovers

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? is a cornerstone of social psychology and political science. Tetlock meticulously documents the accuracy of expert forecasts over decades, demonstrating that cognitive biases and overconfidence frequently undermine predictions. The book provides a rigorous framework for assessing judgment, making it a vital resource for anyone who depends on expertise.

Who Should Read This Book?

This work is essential for psychologists, political scientists, economists, and decision-makers. It is also accessible to general readers curious about the psychology of forecasting. Canadians interested in how expert opinions shape public policy will find particular value. Some familiarity with statistics enriches the experience, but the clear writing ensures broad accessibility.

A Place in Social Psychology

Building on the heuristics and biases research of Kahneman and Tversky, Tetlock extends these insights into real-world forecasting. The book has influenced intelligence analysis and business strategy, emphasizing the importance of intellectual humility and diverse viewpoints. For Canadian students and professionals, it offers a vital perspective on evidence-based decision-making.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the main question addressed?

The core question—how good is expert political judgment, and how can we know?—is answered through empirical evidence and methodological rigor.

What's new in this edition?

A reflective preface updates the book's impact and reviews subsequent forecasting research, ensuring relevance for today's readers.

Is it suitable for non-academic readers?

Yes. While scholarly, the book is written for a wide audience and has been embraced by practitioners and the public alike.

Important Information

Things You Need to Know

Your payment and personal information are protected using industry-standard SSL encryption, and all payments are securely processed through Shopify-approved payment providers. Prices are displayed in Canadian dollars, and applicable taxes are calculated at checkout.

Orders are generally processed within 1–3 business days. Standard delivery to Canada usually takes 5–15 business days after dispatch. Delivery times are estimates and may be affected by carrier delays, customs processing, weather conditions or other circumstances outside our control. Tracking information will be provided when available.

Return requests must be submitted within 30 days of delivery. Vitamins, supplements and health products must be unused, unopened, sealed and returned in their original packaging. Opened products cannot be returned unless they were delivered damaged, defective or incorrect.

Customers are responsible for return shipping costs for unwanted or change-of-mind returns, and a restocking fee of up to 20% may apply. Damaged, defective or incorrect items must be reported within 48 hours of delivery and may qualify for a replacement or full refund.

Refunds are issued to the original payment method after the returned item has been received and inspected. Refund processing may take up to 7 business days. Before returning any product, please contact our customer support team for return authorization. Returns sent without prior approval may be delayed or rejected.

Approved returns must be sent to:

Return Address Fullfillonus #1202
1128 Lexington Ave, Bldg 4 E
Rochester, New York 14606
United States

Refused or unclaimed shipments may only be refunded after they are returned and inspected. Original shipping charges, return shipping costs, customs fees and carrier charges may be deducted from the refund where applicable.

Vitamin4CA.com is operated by Cloverlight LLC.